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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small 
area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and 
further development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. Concentrated shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an 
area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system has 
slowly become better organized since yesterday and environmental 
conditions appear favorable for further development today and 
tomorrow. A tropical depression is likely to form while the system 
moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next 
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

3. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure 
located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
are beginning to show signs of organization. Conditions appear 
conducive for further development and a tropical depression or 
tropical storm is likely to form later this weekend or early next 
week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just 
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky