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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 11 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Elida, located a few hundred hundred miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located around 1500 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A 
low pressure system is expected to form within this area in a day or 
two, and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week. 
The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central 
Pacific basin during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather has formed a few hundred miles south 
of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  An area of low pressure is forecast to 
develop from this system well south or southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this 
system will likely become a tropical depression late this week or 
over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over 
the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of 
Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and 
a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves 
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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