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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 23 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin.

1. A weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for
significant development while it moves little, and this system is
expected to merge with a larger system to the east in a few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the southern
coast of Mexico late this week where environmental conditions
appear conducive for subsequent development. A tropical depression
could form over the weekend while the system moves near the southern
or the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

3. Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles
south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninusla in
a couple of days. Some development is possible later this week while
the system moves erratically northward or northeastward, several
hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake