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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul, located more than 1000 miles west of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles west of the
west-central coast of Mexico.  Any significant organization of this
system is likely to be slow to occur while the system drifts
southwestward over the next couple of days before upper-level winds
become unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some gradual
development is possible after that time while the system moves
generally westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

For additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

Forecaster Blake