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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 24 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a broad
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  No significant
development is expected during the next day or two, but conditions
could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation
by this weekend while the system moves toward the west or
west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure has developed a little more than 1000
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Recent satellite data indicate that this system has
developed a closed, but poorly defined surface circulation, and the
associated shower activity is currently disorganized. However, some
gradual development of this system is possible over the next few
days while the system moves generally westward.  By the weekend,
strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky




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