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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about
600 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is becoming better
defined, and environmental conditions support further development.
If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
tropical depression later today or tonight while the system moves
generally west-northwestward away from Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
eastern Pacific Ocean south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated
with a westward-moving tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system over
the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form
well south of the coast of Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. Yet another tropical wave is forecast to move into the far eastern
Pacific in a few days.  Environmental conditions should support
some development early next week south of Central America while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake




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