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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUN 4 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is moving westward at
10 to 15 mph.  Satellite data indicate that the circulation of the
system remains elongated, and the associated convection is not
signficantly better organized than yesterday.  A tropical depression
could still form during the next couple of days before environmental
conditions become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are centered several hundred
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves slowly northeastward.  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are likely later this weekend and early next
week over portions of southern Mexico and Guatemala.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Blake




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