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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 12 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A large, well-defined low pressure system is located about 600 miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Shower and thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday, and environmental conditions
are expected to gradually become more conducive for the development
of a tropical depression by the weekend while the low moves westward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Stewart