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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU OCT 8 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better
organized in association with a tropical wave located about 1500
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
by the weekend or early next week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

2. An area of low pressure is likely to form several hundred miles
south of southeastern Mexico late this weekend. Any development of
this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves westward
at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Pasch