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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive, and gradual
development is possible while the system moves slowly northeastward
during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

2. The remnants of Marty, located about 350 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, are producing
an area of showers and thunderstorms.  Strong upper-level winds are
forecast to increase further over this system, and significant
development is not expected while it moves north-northeastward at 5
to 10 mph during the next day or so. Regardless of development,
heavy rainfall is possible over portions of northwestern Mexico
through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Cangialosi




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