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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite imagery and satellite-derived surface winds indicate that
the low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has continued to
become better organized.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for additional development and only a slight increase in
organization would result in the formation of a tropical depression
tonight or Tuesday.  The low is expected to move slowly
westward and then west-northwestward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

2. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with
a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southwestern Mexico.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Roberts