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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Genevieve, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression
Eight-E located a few hundred miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico.

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula is becoming better organized, and a tropical depression
could be forming. If this trend continues, advisories will be
initiated later today. However, upper-level winds are forecast to
become highly unfavorable tonight or Sunday, and this could halt
additional development of the system as it moves westward at about
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of southern
Mexico late this weekend.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Eight-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Avila




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