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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located well to the east of Bermuda is 
producing limited shower activity. Although environmental conditions 
appear only marginally conducive for development during the next few 
days, the disturbance could still acquire some subtropical or 
tropical characteristics by early next week while it moves generally 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the subtropical Atlantic. 
By the middle part of next week, further development appears 
unlikely as the system turns northward over the cooler waters of the 
northwestern Atlantic and encounters stronger upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart