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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fiona, located near the Turks and Caicos islands.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better 
organized in association with an area of low pressure located over 
the central subtropical Atlantic, about 950 miles west-southwest of 
the westernmost Azores.   Environmental conditions appear marginally 
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next day or so before upper-level winds 
become less conducive later this week.  The system should move 
generally northward or northeastward while remaining over the open 
waters of central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward 
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms while moving westward at 15-20 mph.  Gradual 
development of this system is forecast during the next several days 
as the system approaches the Windward Islands, and a tropical 
depression could form by the latter part of this week as the system 
moves into the eastern and central Caribbean sea. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Bucci