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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 14 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad and elongated 
area of low pressure located about 800 miles east of the Lesser 
Antilles have persisted overnight and are showing signs of 
organization.  Although upper-level winds are not particularly 
conducive for additional development, only a slight increase in 
organization would result in the formation of a tropical 
depression. The system is forecast to move generally westward
over the tropical Atlantic during the next day or so, and move 
near or over portions of the Leeward Islands Friday and Friday 
night.  Regardless of development, the system is likely to bring 
gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward 
Islands Friday through Saturday. Interests in the Leeward Islands, 
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of 
this system. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown