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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 8 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Earl, located less than 200 miles south of Bermuda, and has written 
the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Danielle, located 
several hundred miles north-northwest of the Azores.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic: 
Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located 
about a thousand miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has 
a well-defined center, and earlier satellite wind data indicated 
that the system is producing maximum sustained winds up to 
40-45 mph to its north. However, the associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, and has become displaced 
further from the center compared to this morning. Environmental 
conditions appear only marginally conducive for additional 
development, but only a small increase in organization in the 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity could result in the 
formation of a short-lived tropical storm in the next day or so 
as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the 
central tropical Atlantic.  By this weekend, environmental 
conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. 
For more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please 
refer to the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southeast of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some 
gradual development as the system moves generally west-northwestward 
over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Papin