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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Danielle, located more than 800 miles west-northwest of the Azores, 
and on Tropical Storm Earl, located about 600 miles south of 
Bermuda.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: 
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist from the Cabo Verde 
Islands southwestward several hundred miles in association with a 
broad area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are conducive 
for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could 
form in a few days while moving westward to west-northwestward at 15 
to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.  
Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for 
development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. African Coast:
A tropical wave currently located over western Africa is forecast to 
emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic in a day or two. 
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow 
development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward 
over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin