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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure located about 875 miles east of the 
Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized 
cloudiness and thunderstorms.  Although environmental conditions 
are only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this 
system is expected over the next several days and a tropical 
depression is likely to form later this week.  The disturbance is 
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at
5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward 
Islands.  Additional information on this system can be found in high 
seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a small low pressure system 
located about 600 miles east of Bermuda remains limited.  Strong 
upper-level winds and dry air are expected to prevent development 
while the system drifts south-southwestward over the next day or 
so. The system is likely to dissipate later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is 
located near the west coast of Africa. This system is forecast to 
move offshore tonight, and some gradual development is possible 
over the next few days while it moves generally westward to 
west-northwestward.  The system could become a short-lived 
tropical depression over the far eastern Atlantic waters during 
the next few days. By late this week, the disturbance is forecast 
to move over cooler waters and further development is not likely 
after that time. Regardless of development, the system could 
bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde 
Islands by Wednesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

4. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea later this week.  The system however, is likely to 
move inland over Central America or the southern portion of 
the Yucatan Peninsula before significant development can occur. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brown