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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure 
over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean has become a little better 
organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be generally favorable for additional gradual development over the 
next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the 
middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph 
toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Central Atlantic:
Shower activity is showing signs of organization in association 
with a small low pressure area located about 600 miles east of 
Bermuda.  Some slow development of this system could occur during 
the next two to three days while the low meanders over the central 
Atlantic. After that tine, conditions are expected to become less 
favorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea during the early or middle part of next week. 
Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of 
Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
early next week. Some gradual development of the system is possible 
during the middle of next week while it moves generally westward 
across the far eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven