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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with 
a tropical wave near the coast of Belize. This system is forecast to 
move across Central America and southeastern Mexico over the next 
day or so before emerging over the Bay of Campeche, where an area of 
low pressure could form on Friday. Some gradual development of this 
system is possible while it moves northwestward over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Papin