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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 28 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Two, located a few hundred miles east of the 
southern Windward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is centered over the northwestern Gulf of 
Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low has 
increased overnight but remains disorganized. Some additional 
development of this system is possible as it moves slowly westward 
or west-southwestward and approaches the coast of Texas during the 
next two days. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be 
possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week. For more 
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products 
issued by your National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located more than 1000 miles east of the Windward 
Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave to 
its east over the next several days, and some gradual development is 
possible later this week while the overall system moves 
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued 
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued 
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky