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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers continue to show some signs of organization near a strong, 
frontal low pressure system located several hundred miles 
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.  The nontropical low is 
likely to lose its associated fronts this weekend while it moves 
southeastward toward slightly warmer waters, and thereafter it could 
transition to a subtropical storm later this weekend or early next 
week over the central Atlantic.  The system is expected to turn 
northward and move toward colder waters by the middle of next week.  
For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred 
miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Some gradual development of 
this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the 
disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  By the 
middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over 
cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Reinhart