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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that 
a broad low pressure system has formed about 200 miles northeast of 
the Turks and Caicos. This system is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly over the open Atlantic 
to the north and east of the low. Further development, if any, of 
this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of 
days due to unfavorable upper-level winds.  The system is forecast 
to move slowly northeastward through tonight, then accelerate 
eastward on Thursday.  Toward the end of the week, further 
development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be 
interacting with a frontal system. The threat of locally heavy 
rainfall across portions of Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos 
will diminish by tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Stewart