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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that 
a large, non-tropical low pressure system located about 150 miles 
southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, is 
producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the west and north of 
the center. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has been 
gradually increasing and becoming better organized today, and the 
low to acquire subtropical characteristics late this afternoon 
through early Sunday.  However, by late Sunday and Monday, 
environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further 
development.  The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward 
during the next day or so, and approach the North Carolina coast 
tonight and early Sunday.  Therefore, interests along the North 
Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system. See local 
National Weather Service office products for more information.

Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy 
rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions 
of North Carolina during the next day or two.  An Air Force Reserve 
reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the gale area.  
Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Stewart