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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic less than 1000 
miles east of the Leeward Islands. 

1. A weak surface trough over portions of the western Yucatan Peninsula 
of Mexico interacting with an upper-level trough located over the 
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
The disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, then move slowly northward 
or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico Monday 
and Tuesday.  Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally 
conducive for development of this system through Wednesday, 
followed by unfavorable environmental conditions thereafter.  
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over 
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America 
through Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart