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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ida, located over western Cuba. 

1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the central Atlantic 
several hundred miles east of Bermuda is producing disorganized 
showers and a couple of thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be only marginally conducive for development, however, 
a tropical depression could still form by early next week.  By 
midweek, the system is forecast to be absorbed by a frontal system. 
The disturbance is expected to drift eastward through tonight and 
Saturday, then accelerate northeastward Sunday toward the central 
north Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure has developed 
in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles 
east of the Lesser Antilles. However, shower and thunderstorm 
activity is limited near the center of the low. Some additional 
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form Saturday or Saturday night before it moves into an 
environment of stronger upper-level winds and slightly cooler 
waters.  The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward 
through tonight, then turn northward Saturday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

3. Another tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west African 
coast by the middle of next week.  Afterwards, environmental 
conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development 
toward the end of next week as the system moves west-northwestward 
to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Latto