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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea just to 
the south-southeast of Puerto Rico.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the Remnants 
of Fred, which are expected to regenerate into a tropical cyclone 
over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico later today. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 200 miles 
north-northeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms mainly to the south of the center.  Some gradual 
development is possible over the next couple of days while the 
system moves slowly to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, 
near or to the east of Bermuda.  By Tuesday, however, environmental 
conditions are forecast to become less conducive for tropical 
cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Berg