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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a gale-force low
pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the
Azores has become a little more concentrated near the center and
it appears to be becoming more distinct from the frontal boundary
located to the northeast of the system. If these trends continue, a
subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday
while the system moves east or east-northeast over the northeastern
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea,
where an area of low pressure could form in a couple of days.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form late this week or
over the weekend while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Additional information on the central Atlantic gale area can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.
Forecaster Papin/Brown