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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure area 
located near the Outer Banks of North Carolina has continued to 
increase and is showing signs of organization.  Recent satellite 
and radar imagery, along with surface observations and data from an 
Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft that is just beginning to 
investigate the system, suggest that a new center of circulation 
could be forming east of Cape Hatteras.  If these development trends 
continue, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or 
storm later today or tonight.  The low is expected to move north- 
northeastward along the mid-Atlantic coast tonight through 
Friday night. 

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce 
locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across 
portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and 
southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also 
possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along 
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and 
Saturday.  Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of 
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather 
Service office. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brown