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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu May 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential 
for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas. 

A trough of low pressure located over the Straits of Florida 
continues to produce disorganized shower activity and gusty winds 
across the Florida Keys, portions of extreme south Florida, and the 
northwestern Bahamas. Gradual development of this system is 
expected, and it will likely become a tropical or subtropical storm 
by late Friday or Saturday when it is located near the northwestern 
Bahamas. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is 
expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic.

1. Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring 
heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast 
Florida and the Bahamas through Saturday.  Tropical-storm-force 
wind gusts are also possible across portions of the Florida Keys, 
southeast Florida, and the Bahamas during the next day or two.  
In addition, hazardous marine conditions are expected along 
the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas where Gale Warnings are 
in effect. See products from your local weather office and High 
Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane 
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow, 
if necessary. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this 
system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Friday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
available on the Web at

Forecaster Cangialosi

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