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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu May 14 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas.
A trough of low pressure located over the Straits of Florida
continues to produce disorganized shower activity and gusty winds
across the Florida Keys, portions of extreme south Florida, and the
northwestern Bahamas. Gradual development of this system is
expected, and it will likely become a tropical or subtropical storm
by late Friday or Saturday when it is located near the northwestern
Bahamas. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is
expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic.
1. Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring
heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast
Florida and the Bahamas through Saturday. Tropical-storm-force
wind gusts are also possible across portions of the Florida Keys,
southeast Florida, and the Bahamas during the next day or two.
In addition, hazardous marine conditions are expected along
the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas where Gale Warnings are
in effect. See products from your local weather office and High
Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow,
if necessary. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Friday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.