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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. This
system is gradually becoming better organized, and if this trend
continues, a tropical depression or tropical storm may develop later
this afternoon or evening as the system drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands
and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area
of cloudiness and showers.  Conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while the system moves
westward across the tropical Atlantic and approaches the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Another tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands.  Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form early next week while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

Forecaster Latto