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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 6 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Dorian, located offshore of the northeastern coast of North
Carolina.  The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories
on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, which quickly regenerated this morning
about 1000 miles southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located just southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Little, if any, development of this disturbance is expected for the
next couple of days, but environmental conditions are likely to
become more conducive for a tropical depression to form by Tuesday
or Wednesday while the system moves westward across the tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles
northeast of the Leeward Islands are associated with a trough of
low pressure.  Significant development of this system is not
expected during the next several days while it moves slowly
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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