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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers activity has increased and become a little better organized
today in association with a tropical wave located about 350 miles
east-southeast of the Leeward Islands.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to gradually become more conducive for development by
Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is expected to form
by the middle of the week. The system will move westward to
west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of
the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern
Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Stewart