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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 24 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is associated with a broad area of low pressure located about
900 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.  This system has
become better organized since yesterday with increased thunderstorm
activity, although the low's circulation is still not well defined.
This disturbance is expected to move northward over the next couple
of days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to
be generally conducive for development, and a tropical or
subtropical depression or storm is most likely to form on Friday or
Saturday. After that time, the system is forecast to turn westward
well to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles through early next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web
at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

Forecaster Blake