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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea are associated with a broad low pressure area.  Upper-level
winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development
over the next couple of days.  After that time, environmental
conditions are expected to be more conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression could still form early next
week while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Forecaster Pasch