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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Nicole, located several hundred miles
east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located just
to the northeast of the southeastern Bahamas has become more
concentrated this morning, and surface observations indicate that
pressures are falling in the area. The low is expected to slowly
intensify as upper-level winds become more conducive, and a
subtropical or tropical cyclone could form during the next day or
two as the low moves northward or north-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Beven