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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST THU NOV 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a broad
low pressure area, associated with a tropical wave, has formed over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  This system is expected to move
west-northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.  Some slow development
is possible during the couple of days.  After that time, the low is
expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional
development unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

2. An area of low pressure could form near or to the north of Puerto
Rico and Hispaniola late this weekend.  Some slow development of
this system is possible early next week while it moves
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Beven