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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the
central Bahamas.

1. A broad low pressure system has developed along an old frontal
boundary over the central Atlantic more than 600 miles southeast of
Bermuda.  Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with this system
have become a little better organized since yesterday. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to
form by the weekend while the low moves slowly northwestward to
northward.  Additional information on this system can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Stewart