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SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
435 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina.

1. Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity
associated with the low pressure area near Wilmington, North
Carolina is poorly organized.  However, an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft found an area of gale-force winds over the
Atlantic Ocean well to the east and southeast of the center.  There
is still a short window of opportunity for this system to become a
tropical cyclone before it merges with a frontal system Wednesday or
Wednesday night.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North
Carolina through tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Beven