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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

700 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather extending northward from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea into the Atlantic Ocean for several
hundred miles is associated with a weak surface trough and an
upper-level low.  A surface low pressure system could form in this
area later today or tomorrow, and it could briefly acquire
subtropical characteristics while moving northwestward.  After
that time, development is not expected while the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone.  Regardless of
formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding should
continue across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through tonight.  For additional information on
the heavy rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your
national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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