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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova
Scotia.

1. Showers and thunderstorms along the coast of South Texas are
associated with a weak area of low pressure.  This system is
forecast to move inland over southern Texas and northern
Mexico later today and development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Cloudiness and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected
to remain unfavorable for development during the next day or two
while the system moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.
However, environmental conditions could become conducive for some
development when the system moves over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea on Sunday and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Friday.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow
to occur during the next several days while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph across the eastern and central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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