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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Gulf of
Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure that is moving
slowly west-southwestward.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for significant development before the system moves inland
in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A tropical wave located about 750 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are not expected to be
favorable for significant development during the next couple of
days, but could become slightly more conducive by the end of the
week or this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at
about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
late this week. Conditions appear to be favorable for some
development thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15
mph across the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

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