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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 21 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this week or over the weekend while it moves 
generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema