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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 20 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Caribbean Sea (AL98):
A large area of showers and thunderstorms persists over the eastern 
Caribbean Sea to the east of a tropical wave.  The system still 
appears to lack a closed surface circulation, but environmental 
conditions are soon forecast to become more conducive for 
development.  A tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to 
form within the next day or two while the system slows its forward 
motion over the central Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of development, 
heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the ABC 
Islands during the next couple of days.  Interests in Puerto Rico, 
Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba should monitor the progress of this 
disturbance as there is a risk of heavy rain and flooding, strong 
winds, and rough surf later this week.  For additional information 
on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Hagen