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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms offshore of southern Mexico. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this 
disturbance, and a tropical depression could form during the next 
few days. The system is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward 
or northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico 
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Bucci