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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms offshore of southern Mexico and portions of 
Central America. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression 
could form late this week or over the weekend. The system is 
expected to move little during the next couple of days, but a slow 
northwestward motion near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico is expected by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Reinhart