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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Jerry, located just southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

1. North Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization 
with a small gale-force area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles to the northwest of the Azores. Only a small increase in 
organization could result in the formation of a subtropical 
or tropical storm as soon as tonight, as the system moves slowly 
northwestward. Over the weekend, the system is expected to move 
over cooler waters, ending its chances of further development. For 
more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and Meteo 
France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw.txt


Forecaster Papin