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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the 
northern Leeward Islands.

1. North Atlantic (AL96):
A gale-force non-tropical area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles to the west-northwest of the Azores is producing 
limited shower activity near its center. Some subtropical or 
tropical development of this system is possible over the next day or 
two before it moves over even cooler waters and into a stronger 
shear environment. For more information on this system, including 
gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service and Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Bay of Campeche:
A trough of low pressure associated with some disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms has moved inland over southern Mexico, and 
development is not expected. Heavy rain and gusty winds will 
continue across portions of southern Mexico today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt


Forecaster Reinhart