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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Priscilla, located a couple 
of hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP90):
A large and persistent area of showers and thunderstorms remains 
disorganized near and to the west of a broad area of low pressure 
located in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development over the next few days, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week if the 
system remains over water.  The disturbance is forecast to move 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast 
of southern and southwestern Mexico, and interests there should 
monitor its progress.  Regardless of development, the disturbance 
is expected to produce periods of heavy rainfall along portions of 
the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico through the end of 
the week, which could lead to localized flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Hagen