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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located in the eastern Pacific well to the 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, 
and on Hurricane Priscilla, located a couple hundred miles offshore 
of southwestern Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Satellite wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has 
formed a couple of hundred miles off the coast of Guatemala.  This 
system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Development appears unlikely during the next couple of days due to 
strong upper-level winds.  However, environmental conditions are 
expected to become more favorable for development thereafter, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or parallel to the coast of 
Mexico.  Regardless of development, this system could produce 
periods of heavy rainfall along the coast of southern Mexico this 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Hagen